Tesla’s Strategy

In Payback and Plugins we talked about Wrightspeed and their strategy to target the automobile segments with the highest payback for using EV technology. In Luxury and Innovation; I suggested how luxury cars like Tesla will drive innovation.

Now, the former CEO of Tesla (now the President of Technology), Martin Eberhard has a discussion with David Pogue and he spells out Tesla’s strategy in simple steps.

DP: That’s handy. Now, you have bigger plans than this one model . . .

ME: Yeah. This is our first car. We come in at the top of the market, changing the way people think about electric cars fundamentally. Electric cars don’t have to be goofy little golf carts; they can be something that we all want to own. Maybe we can’t all afford one of these things, but we realize that electric cars can be hot cars. O.K.

It allows Tesla Motors to develop the brand, to develop the relationships we need with suppliers, to build and buy things at prices that allow us to make more affordable cars.

With that progress, then we consider the next car. We look for a car that’s in the $50,000 range that can seat five adults as our next model. Still kind of expensive, but a step down, for sure, from the $100,000 roadster.Tesla Roadster

If we pull that off, then the next car should be higher-volume still and lower priced.

It’s how you get into the market. If you try to come in from Day 1 and build a car that everyone can afford, it’s a recipe for disaster—as all of the electric car companies in the last 30 or 40 years have proven.

Well, you cannot get a better explanation. Now, the same blueprint can be used by other companies to enter the “sustainability and environmental” markets and drive innovation and growth.

SMEs act on environment

The Age on a report on SMEs and environmental issues.

The Sensis Environment Report found that 37 per cent of SMEs surveyed were already trying to reduce their impact on the environment.

The report’s author, Christena Singh, said the main calls to action from Australians were for business to be more efficient with energy and water (14 per cent) and to recycle and manage waste better (13 per cent).

“These calls to action closely mirror changes already being made by SMEs,” she said. “The most popular change was to introduce recycling, followed by trying to reduce water and energy usage.”

The interesting aspect is the negative impact of drought in almost every state except NT. The learning: Local and current issues matter.

Payback and Plugins

In the world of electric cars there are very few new ideas. Mostly it revolves around Prius type of cars. The Tesla is in a different strategic direction (focus on power and performance) and may be a good one.

Well, Ian Wright comes up with another good strategic direction. Neal Dikeman at Cnet writes about his discussion with Wright.

Wright knows something about this topic, as he was formerly an executive at EV start-up Tesla Motors, and is now the founder and CEO of Wrightspeed, a Silicon Valley-based start-up whose first car is going to be a high-performance electric supercar, price tag just shy of $200,000. And as it’s electric, Wright expects it should out-start, outrun, out-turn, and generally outperform anything in its class.
[...]
I am known among my friends as being a real skeptic when it comes to EVs, but behind Wright’s business plan he got my attention with two ideas that are worth repeating: payback and plug-ins.Wright Speed
[...]
Putting expensive hybrid and EV technology in the small car not only has a worse financial payback–compounding the perennial problem of EVs being too costly, but the same 20 percent efficiency improvement does very little to reduce overall fuel consumption for society compared to the same efficiency gains in a big truck that drives a heck of lot of miles.

So Wright asks, if we want to both find a way to save car owners money, and save the world–wouldn’t we focus on applying technology to where the problem is the worst and the returns are the best?
[...]
To deal with this issue, Wright isn’t all about the all electric. He’s pushing plug-in electric hybrids, PHEVs, aka gridable hybrids…Wright’s vision also addresses one of the long-running Achilles’ heels of electric cars–the lack of fueling infrastructure. Regardless of your feelings on the matter, it’s generally bad business to try to bet on an expensive infrastructure rollout. And if it means slower and lower uptake of fuel-efficient vehicles, then calling for infrastructure change that’s not going to happen is bad for the environment, too.

Wright is asking a very good question. His focus on payback and through plug-ins using the current “fuel infrastructure” may be a great strategic bet that will potentially payoff.

Profits and Greed

Capitalism and its mechanism of profits is generally generalized as Greed. Well, Dan Denning from The Daily Reckoning has some wise words to say about that. He says profits are “are natural, healthy, and indispensable to a functioning market”.

You don’t judge an economic system by its worst offenders. You judge it by how much prosperity it creates for the largest number of people. And to make a sound judgment, it doesn’t hurt to have a basic understanding of how the system consistently produces better outcomes for more people.

–Your average capitalist-and we are talking about the small businessmen and women, innovators, and entrepreneurs that run most of the country’s businesses and create the most new jobs-applies his skill, knowledge and labour to create something other people find valuable. The application of his efforts creates value where none existed before.

–The reward for his efforts is a profit. But the profit is a double edged sword. In addition to being a reward for value-added, profit is a signal to other potential producers: do this thing better or sell it for cheaper and there’s profit in it for you too. This is why the best place to open a new restaurant is generally right next door to a restaurant that’s already successful.

This is why profits are crucial to a free market. They signal to producers what consumers are willing to pay for. The signal attracts more producers, which lowers prices and improves quality for consumers. Without profits, then, consumers would have fewer choices, pay higher prices, and receive poorer quality goods and services.

–Profits stay abnormally high in markets where a producer enjoys a virtual monopoly (Telstra) or where the government creates barriers to entry on behalf of favoured producers (Qantas). Any time profits are kept abnormally high, consumers suffer. But it’s not profits that are problem, it’s the lack of competition.

–Incidentally, this is why investors are often willing to pay a premium for growth stocks. A new company in a new industry often rakes up higher profits in the early years, before the competition emerges and the entire industry matures. This is the fundamental basis for investing in small capitalisation stocks… you want to capture the abnormally large profits of early-stage innovators and first-to-market companies.

–Anyone who’s ever owned or run a small business understands that greed can never be the basis for a successful enterprise. Your shortest rout to business success is not through price gouging. You simply have to provide people something they want at a price they’re willing to pay. You do that by practicing sound business ethics-like not charging your core customers more for cream simply because you can. Bad ethics is bad business.

–That seems deceptively simple. In fact, it’s so simple that most people miss it. And we realise there are exceptions. But providing real value to your customer is the hidden principle of trade and commerce.

There’s another principle that doesn’t involve greed at all. It involves the efficient allocation of scarce resources. To trade anything successfully, you have to produce a finished good that’s more valuable than the raw materials and labour you’ve put into it. There are two basic ways to do this.

–First, you can move an item from the place where it’s less valuable to a place where it’s more valuable, from a place where it’s abundant to a place where it’s scarce, from the place you found it to the place where it’s not found at all.

–Take the iron ore of the Pilbara. There’s plenty of it laying around in the Pilbara. But the Pilbara is not in China. The ore is valuable in China because China needs steel. The Australian companies that trade in iron ore simply move it from where it’s abundant to where it’s scarce. For their observation and their troubles they are entitled to a profit- having identified a resource people want and a way to get it to them.

–The other way to trade successfully is to add value to group of raw materials by putting them together in a novel and useful way. It could be fallow farmland you turn into corn or wheat, or opening a deli on a corner near an office building full of hungry workers, or importing Buddhist prayer flags made in China for the inner peace of white collar workers in Melbourne. No matter what he does (except, perhaps, in financial services), the entrepreneur must be the servant of the customer if he’s going to make a profit.

–The division of labour makes for tremendous variety in the goods and services you can buy. What you buy is up to you. But we should not be ungrateful for the huge variety of choice we have, of the system that produces that variety. Unless you view choice as a burden, what’s the complaint? Our only real complaint is that the sheer abundance of choice has turned many people into consumers rather than producers, and thus the net wealth of the culture is in decline.

–But there is nothing wrong-practically or ethically-with the working principles of capitalism. A good entrepreneur will look at any group of raw materials and produce a whole that is greater than the sum of the parts. Whether he applies his labour or his brain, he’s providing the same service to the economy… producing a good or service where none existed before.

The desire for some reward for his labour is natural and healthy. It’s not greed. Without the incentive for profit, the variety of goods produced would decline. This-among many other reasons related to the flaws of a command economy-is why the shelves of grocery stores in Soviet Russia were bare.

India’s infrastructure problems

The example below is the best example of the growing infrastructure problems plaguing the country and which could halt the 9%+ growth it has been enjoying for sometime now.

If bijli (electricity) and sadak (roads) are the new buzzwords in the Indian economy, nothing
better illustrates the long road ahead than a short stretch in Kasara
Ghat on National Highway 3 between Mumbai and Nashik. Here, sadak
stands in the way of bijli: for three months, a 200-wheel trailer
carrying critical components of the most advanced turbine for an Indian
power plant is stuck here because the road wasn’t upgraded and so
couldn’t take the load.

The result: National Thermal Power Corporation’s 1980 MW power plant in
Bilaspur, Chhattisgarh, for which this turbine was imported, cannot be
completed on time. And, of course, the stuck trailer has set off a
daily traffic nightmare.

Most of the problems are due to neglect, lack of planning and the huge red tape.

Japan and Innovation 25

Japan, the world’s second largest economy has been languishing for more than 15 years now. How do change this? How do you create a innovative Japan?

One project is the Innovation 25. Red Herring has some notes from Kiyoshi Kurokawa’s Powerpoint presentation.

One theme from the Innovation 25 is the big opportunity in environmental or sustainability.

Opportunities for Japan’s Innovation Strategy

Japan is known throughout the world for its strengths in manufacturing (in the broad sense of the term) and “environmental or green” technology such as that for clean energy. We need to further develop these strengths by offering these products and services to Asia and the world.

Society that Contributes Significantly to Resolving Global Environmental Issues

By 2025, innovation could see Japan become a society where:

-The public as well as the government and corporations make daily efforts to resolve environmental issues at the global level . These efforts will include radical reduction of the sources of global warming, efficient energy use, and waste and water management. Japan would lead the world by taking these initiatives.
-The public will be exposed to issues related to the natural environment and will take voluntary actions to save energy and implement the 3R’s (Re-use,Reduce and Recycle) in everyday life. For example, grade schools will provide children with opportunities to learn about the environment and energy use .
- Corporations will support such activities using multiple measures including paid-holidays for those undertaking such activities.
- Ongoing and ambitious efforts will establish Japan as a model of sustainability in the world. Abundant opportunities will be given to young people from Asia and elsewhere at universities and corporations in Japan so that they learn the skills to balance environmental, social and economic development in their home countries in a sustainable way.

Global Environmental Issues as a Driver for Economic Growth and International Contribution

Environmental and energy issues will increase in significance as efforts continue to promote world economic development. Clean energy, green technology, nanotechnology and biotechnology developed in Japan should serve as the main drivers for economic growth. This will provide Japan with an ideal opportunity to contribute to the resolution of these global issues.

Not only for Japan but for every country and company; sustainability provides a great new opportunity to solve some of the world’s problems and create huge new opportunities.

Ecovative: Fungi based insulation

Red Herring has an interesting story about a start-up, Ecovative, in the US where two Whiz kids have demonstrated the use of mushrooms and fungi to create organic insulation. (the article is not yet available online)

To make Ecovative’s insulation, living cells from mushrooms are injected into a panel mold along with a waste feedback (flour or starbucks coffee grinds, for instance), water, and mineral particles like perlite, a potting soil ingredient.[...]After a week or two, the panel is baked, killing off all fungal life. “the magic of what we are doing is we’re letting fungi do the manufacturing on the micro-scale”, says Mr. Bayer…these fungi are taking the food and reassembling it into a cellular body.[It's] kind of a low-tech biotech”.
[...]
Industry observers sat Ecovative stradles two very hot, yet still emerging subsectors of cleantech – industrial biotech, which leverages biological processes and organisms for use in industrial production, and “green” building, a growing movement for environmentally sustainable building materials.
[...]
“The questions is: can they really deliver on the price, and is the performance equal or better than the existing product that’s out there?”

Cities Are the Greatest Generators of Innovation and Wealth

Nikhil Swaminathan in Scientific American: (hat tip: Atanu Dey)

The researchers mathematically modeled these factors according to population growth to see how each respond when more people move to a city. They found that human needs, such as employment, utility consumption and housing, correspond directly with the population: As the number of people doubles so does the need for housing, jobs and electricity infrastructure, which encompasses the number of roads, gasoline stations and the like already in place and does not necessarily keep pace with individual growth—the ratio of user to facility simply rises. (And so, for example, there are simply more customers at the available gas stations.) At the other extreme, researchers found that increases in social activity and production outpace population growth. In other words, if the number of city denizens doubles, these factors—both negative (crime) and positive (wealth creation, total wages and gross domestic product)—will more than double.

“These scaling laws give you some suggestion of …[how] … your city will behave as it grows,” in terms of economic activity, resource consumption, etc., Bettencourt says, adding that smaller cities, like Portland, Ore., and huge epicenters, like New York City, fall along the same continuum and are subject to the same multipliers.

“The practical application of this work is that the problem is not large cities, the problem is the conditions in which some people live in large cities,” says study co-author Jose Lobo, an economist at A.S.U.’s School of Sustainability in Tempe. “Policies should be directed to making large cities more livable”—for instance, enacting legislation or spending money to alleviate poverty and crime, the negative effects of growth.

Thomas Parris, director of sustainability programs at iSciences, a Burlington, VT, research company dedicated to improving understanding of sustainability, agrees that the main message of the paper is a recharacterization of cities so that better decisions can be made as urban areas continue to grow. “This is a fascinating paper that quantitatively explores the complex interactions between urbanization, sustainability and social innovation,” he says. “Insights, such as those presented in this paper, will help guide our collective choices as the pace of socioecological change accelerates.”

You can read more about the importance of cities in the context of India in the Ten part series on Cities and Urbanization by Atanu Dey.

Work and the Greater Good

Peter Drucker, the famed managament guru of the 20th century, talked a lot about work and its effect on people. Most of the people/workers want to believe that their most valuable time and effort is worth something in the end.

From Ed B in a LinkedIn Answer:

Workers who feel they are contributing to some greater good and can “sense real progress toward meeting that greater good”, tend to value themselves more highly as workers and tend to perceive fewer barriers to getting the work done.

This feeling brings about satisfaction and leads to what Drucker called “work as achieving”.

While working in Deeshaa I had that distinct feeling that there was a great satisfaction in what I was doing. The entire exercise in sacrificing our personal money, time and effort to live in a city like Mumbai, commute for 3+hrs a day to achieve an almost impossible dream was well worth it.

A lot of young people I interacted during that time were trying to find some ”meaningful” work. I did not have any answers then and nor do I have any now. What I did learn was in the end we all need to follow “a path with a heart”. In someways, I am still trying to recreate that magic.

One example of that is the story reported in the BBC about Drs Paul and Claudia Turner.

This time last year, they were both on the senior registrar rung – Paul in microbiology and Claudia in paediatrics – when they began to get itchy feet.

Fast-forward 12 months and that itch has been well and truly scratched.

Today, the couple are living on the Thai-Burmese border, working among a refugee population and on the verge of launching a cutting-edge study into pneumonia, under the auspices of the one of the world’s most prestigious tropical medicine research units.

“We were both disillusioned with the NHS, not just the structure but the users as well, and we wanted to work in an environment where we saw people who really needed medical care,” said Claudia.

“It sounds trite but we wanted to make a difference – and also to have a bit of adventure.”

The Shoklo Malaria Research Unit (SMRU) is located in the small town of Mae Sot, northwest Thailand.
[...]
“It’s unusual to be able to get involved in such fundamentally important research in the West, but in Asia there has been very little work done on many potentially treatable conditions, including childhood pneumonia.”
[...]
“It’s satisfying not only because this work has the potential to impact on a global scale, but because of the difference we’re making locally – the rewards are much more apparent and immediate than in the NHS.

When I left ADP Wilco for Deeshaa I sent a mail to my colleagues about my decision which contained a verse from “Notes to Myself” by Hugh Prather.

Those sentences still make a lot of sense.

I have always believed in the concept of ‘the Compass and the Clock’. The clock helps us to plan, organize time and space, initiate projects and see them through to completion. But the compass shows us the “True North”. The direction in life that we choose to take. And I am starting a new journey which takes me nearer to my “True North”.

“There is a part of me that wants to write
a part that wants to theorize, a part that
wants to sculpt, a part that wants to
reach…To force myself into a single
role, to decide to be just one thing in life,
would kill off large parts of me.

My career will form behind me. All I can
do is let this day come to me in peace. All
I can do is take the step before me now,
and not fear repeating an effort or making
a new one.”

P.N : The verse “There is a part of me…” has been taken from the book ‘Notes to Myself’ by Hugh Prather.